Tanzanian President John Magufuli won an election victory on Friday with 84% of the vote, according to the country's National Electoral Commission. Yet, despite the critical voices around Magufuli’s government, the president still received support and admiration for the stringency of his governance focusing almost exclusively on national issues. In a press conference held on Saturday, October 31, ACT and Chadema refused to recognize the results and called for peaceful protests starting on Monday, November 2. Tanzania Elections Watch, ... Reports say the aide leading New York Gov. [4]. They also form a clear message about internal dissent within CCM, enhance the politicization of State institutions and, most importantly, polarize the Tanzanian society. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. As in 2015, the two main political opposition parties to CCM managed to form an electoral coalition and supported only one candidate for the presidential and constituencies’ elections, despite new constraining electoral regulations. They must be … Without surprise, the outcome of the sixth general elections since the reintroduction of multiparty politics in 1992 reaffirmed the longstanding grip on power of Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM). The EU-Japan partnership in the Indo-Pacific: opportunities... Why Should NATO Care About China? Electoral System : Since the introduction of multiparty elections in 1995, the uses a first-past-the-post system to determine the composition of the National Legislature, with a separate … Tanzania is due to hold presidential and legislative elections on October 25, 2020. However, the East African Community mission, under the leadership of former Burundi President Sylvestre Ntibantunganya declared the elections were free and fair, while the African Union mission, under the leadership of former Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan has not made any declaration yet. Hussein Ali Hassan Mwinyi, son of former Tanzanian President Ali Hassan Mwinyi, is the candidate of the governing party. He has an odd way of … Yet, only a few days before the election day, the main telecommunication operators Airtime and Vodacom Tanzania reportedly shut down their services temporarily and text messages containing the names of opposition leaders were blocked. The commission didn’t comment on the arrests. For the three following decades, the intense fusion of the State and the ruling-party and the continuous mobilization of the population in development projects deeply transformed Tanzanian political culture. D. Paget, “Again, Making Tanzania Great: Magufuli’s Restorationist Developmental Nationalism”, Democratization, Vol. J. Brennan, “The Short History of Political Opposition & Multi-Party Democracy in Tanganyika (1958-1964)“, in G. Maddox and J. Giblin (eds. Moreover, the opposition in Tanzania has always been subject to repression. These actions prompted international observers and diplomatic figures in Tanzania, mainly the US, UK, Norway and Canada, to declare that Magufuli’s reelection … The latest polls from states with the potential to decide the election. Magufuli is currently contesting for a second five-year term. Despite the numerous attempts by the government and State bodies to repress and impede political organization, the main opposition parties raised their voices, formulated and articulated manifestos and toured the country, even though party meetings and rallies were cadenced by interruptions and interventions by security forces. Your registration request has been successfully submitted. 5, No. As well as taking part in the Tanzanian elections, voters on the semi-autonomous archipelago of Zanzibar were also electing their own president, and the CCM candidate Hussein Mwinyi … [6]. Zanzibar’s electoral commission said Hamad finished second with just 19% of the vote, while the ruling party candidate won with 76%. 4, No. The NBC News National Polling Average is based on an unweighted average of the 10 most recent publicly released public opinion polls that NBC News deems reliable. By signing this form you consent to the processing of your data.. In power since 2015, Magufuli has built his reputation on his merciless governance style, including the limitation of democratic and human rights, policy-making based on economic nationalism and the spontaneous dismissal of high-level officials in the name of the fight against corruption and party loyalty. A Consolidation of Magufuli’s “Authoritarian Turn”? L'Afrique en question, No. The European space sector in a context of international competition... China's Priorities and Ambitions: Key Takeaways From the “Two Sessions” Les Jeudis de... Observatory of Central and Southern Africa, Elections, Governance and Evolution of the State in Africa. The pressure was also felt within the ruling-party as Magufuli, who was largely an outsider before 2015, strengthened his grip and marginalized internal dissenting factions. [8] Party elite members reshaped the constitutional and legal architecture as well as the State apparatus and exploited neopatrimonial networks to their own benefit. Fouéré and C. Maingraud-Martinaud, “Une hégémonie compétitive contre vents et marées : les élections générales de 2015 en Tanzanie et à Zanzibar”, Politique africaine, 2015, Vol. [8]. Democracy in Tanzania is broken—and is in trouble elsewhere in Africa, too. A Japanese Perspective. [3]. [9]. 287-292. There was the possibility that it might face defeat on election day – October 25. N. Minde, S. Roop and K. Tronvoll, “The Rise and Fall of the Government of National Unity in Zanzibar: A Critical Analysis of the 2015 Elections”, Journal of African Elections, Vol. Tundu Lissu, who barely survived an assassination attempt in July 2017, returned to Tanzania from exile in July 2020 and was endorsed as the presidential candidate for both Chadema and ACT-Wazalendo (ACT). Leading candidates in the Zanzibar vote are incumbent president Ali Mohamed Shein of the ruling CCM, and current vice-president Seif Sharif Hamad from … 10, No. According to Tanzania’s election authority, more than 29 million people have registered to vote. Baden-Württemberg under Green Leadership – Balance Sheet of... Tanzania’s 2020 General Elections between Repression and Manipulation. An organization’s polls are deemed reliable based on methodology (excluding interactive voice response phone polls and opt-in online polls), past performance and transparency. The president of the NEC is appointed by the President of the United Republic (who is at the same time the chairman of the ruling party). Hover over the dots for individual poll results, Granite State Poll/University of New Hampshire. Opposition candidates were temporarily arrested, while security forces were accused of shooting people on Pemba Island (Zanzibar). Tanzania’s 2020 General Elections between Repression and Manipulation: A Consolidation of Magufuli’s “Authoritarian Turn”?.pdf, Post-Nkurunziza : The Total Supremacy of The CNDD-FDD. 4, 1999, pp. NDI is a 501(c)(3) organization Tanzania Elections Watch, “Preliminary Election Report”, 2020. Voters will elect a president plus most of the 393 seats in the unicameral National Assembly. [1]. The leaders of Tanzania’s ruling Chama cha Mageuzi (CCM) party must have been worried last October, in the face of what many expected to be a greatly strengthened opposition. 27, pp. 1240-1260. The perpetuating ‘de facto one party-State’[9] was consolidated through an electoral process designed to protect the hegemony of the ruling party. Since 2016, the government has been banning political meetings, arresting and jailing opposition leaders under accusations of sedition, insulting the head of state or inciting mutiny. [7]. Magufuli’s governance style has often been analyzed as a “rupture” with and a “danger” to Tanzanian democracy. In other words, and despite the reintroduction of multiparty politics, the authoritarian structure of the State and its pervasive fusion with the ruling-party have continuously offered the tools necessary to CCM to maintain its hegemonic position. The announcement of the election results by the NEC came as a shock, as opposition representatives lost their constituency one after the other. A. Makulilo, Tanzania: A De Facto One Party State?, Saarbrücken: Verlag Dr. Müller, 2008. The election is widely seen as a referendum on Mr. Magufuli, who is seeking a second five-year term, and on the governing Party of the Revolution, … Hamad was later released. Throughout the campaign, social media and especially Twitter were an important communication tool for opposition members and the intellectual diaspora to share views, express criticism and to hold online meetings. National Democratic Institute 455 Massachusetts Ave, NW, 8th Floor Washington, DC 20001-2621 Phone: 202-728-5500 Fax: 888-875-2887. 142-155. 145-163. While his counterparts from the East African Community member countries were joining forces, the Tanzanian president undertook solo efforts: after denying the existence of the disease in Tanzania and declaring faith and religion as the main remedy against the coronavirus, Magufuli was accused by international community members of exposing his population arbitrarily to a serious health risk and further decreased his credibility as a responsible leader.[4]. Under the leadership of President John Magufuli, Tanzania has lost its credibility as a democratic nation over the years. Despite their initial divergences on economic policy, both Chadema and ACT insisted on the importance of democratic values and on their will to improve Tanzania’s relationships with international investors. Whereas these initial political intentions were generally welcomed, the relationships with non-African bi- and multilateral partners quickly deteriorated. Although the free and fair character of elections in Tanzania has always been questioned, the intensity and unscrupulousness of electoral manipulation observed before and during the 2020 elections is unprecedented and seems to inaugurate yet another phase and level of authoritarianism in Tanzania. )[5] are emphasized to defend his political legitimacy. Tundu Lissu, the main challenger to incumbent President John Magufuli, told Reuters the election results -- expected within a week -- could not be trusted. Tracking the state of the race between President Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Joe Biden, updated as polls are released. In the first decade after Independence several decisions ended a short-lived but intense period of political pluralism[6]: the introduction of the single-party system in 1962, the repressive crackdown on dissent following the 1964 mutiny and the Arusha declaration of 1967 that inaugurated the socialist period. His investment in mega economic and infrastructure projects such as reviving the national airline Air Tanzania, building railway and power infrastructures and rehabilitating Dodoma as the Tanzanian capital but also by stressing the Tanzanian ownership over national resources (land, petrol, agricultural products, etc. G. Hyden, “Top-Down Democratization in Tanzania“, Journal of Democracy, Vol. In Zanzibar particularly, opposition members have experienced violent outbursts of State coercion since 1995, and particularly after the 2000 elections that led to 60 deaths, 300 injured and more than 2,000 departures in exile to Kenya. 58, November 2, 2020. Tanzania votes in election marred by violence, fears of fraud. Guinea’s election on October 18th resulted in a dubious victory (and a third term) for President Alpha Condé. [7] The subsequent liberalization period starting in the 1980s and the political transition of the 1990s were to a large extent controlled by CCM. 17, No. Moreover, candidates of the ruling-party have enjoyed close relationships with security forces and civil servants that are crucial, especially at the local level, to gather information and intimidate opposition members. Although CCM’s victory was expected by most, the electoral campaign revealed important political dynamics at stake. Andrew Cuomo’s COVID-19 vaccine rollout has been calling county executives to gauge their loyalty to him. 163-184. Althouth the electoral victory by the incumbent President John Pombe Magufuli and his party CCM was awaited, the results exceeded expectations about unfree and unfair elections and widespread fraud, as far as the ruling party claims to have “won” at least 225 out of 230 constituencies. Once presidential results are announced by the NEC, they cannot by law be challenged in court. The business and investment climate in the country cooled off as an effect of protectionist economic measures, such as nationalizing key assets and access to resources, but also limiting work permits for foreigners and tightening local content policies. Tanzania's President John Magufuli speaks during the official launch of the party's campaign for the October general election at the Jamhuri stadium in Dodoma, Tanzania… [5]. Chadema, NCCR-Mageuzi, and CUF are some other opposition parties represented in the National Assembly The next general election in Tanzania will be in 2020. The pre-electoral climate was tense both on the archipelagoes and on the mainland. 140, pp. Local observation by civil society organizations was forbidden and several foreign media outlets were denied accreditation to cover the elections. B ACK IN JANUARY John Magufuli, Tanzania’s president, vowed that elections scheduled for October 28th would be free and fair. Zanzibar's electoral commission said Hamad finished second with just 19% of the vote, while the ruling party candidate won … Ifri is concerned about the respect of your personal data. Tracking the state of the race between President Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Joe Biden, updated as polls are released. The rigging of the 2015 elections in the archipelago led to the dereliction of the 2010’s Government of National Unity agreement, that had eased the polarization of Zanzibari society along political lines).[10]. 27, No. The presidential election was won by incumbent John Magufuli of the Chama Cha Mapinduzi party. Tanzania has a dominant-party system with Chama Cha Mapinduzi in power (Status 2020). Additionally, the semi-autonomous archipelago of Zanzibar will hold elections to choose its president, most of the 88 members of its unicameral House of Representatives, and local councillors. General elections were held in Tanzania on 28 October 2020 to elect the President and National Assembly. Police also didn’t comment but confirmed at least 70 arrests in the past two days in election-related incidents. The long-term impacts of this episode are yet to be seen, but Magufuli, and maybe the entire CCM party, have made an unmistakable statement about their ruthless will to remain in power.
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