who is leading in tanzania election
READ MORE Tanzania elections 2020: John Magufuli in bitter race against Tundu Lissu. Tanzania votes in election marred by violence, fears of fraud. Hover over the dots for individual poll results, Granite State Poll/University of New Hampshire. Tanzania has a dominant-party system with Chama Cha Mapinduzi in power (Status 2020). In the midst of tense relationships with the international community, the elections were entirely domestically funded, and no non-African electoral observation was allowed this year. 140, pp. There was the possibility that it might face defeat on election day – October 25. In a press conference held on Saturday, October 31, ACT and Chadema refused to recognize the results and called for peaceful protests starting on Monday, November 2. Democracy in Tanzania is broken—and is in trouble elsewhere in Africa, too. [3]. 58, November 2, 2020. Tanzania’s 2020 General Elections between Repression and Manipulation: A Consolidation of Magufuli’s “Authoritarian Turn”?.pdf, Post-Nkurunziza : The Total Supremacy of The CNDD-FDD. [1]. The business and investment climate in the country cooled off as an effect of protectionist economic measures, such as nationalizing key assets and access to resources, but also limiting work permits for foreigners and tightening local content policies. The pressure was also felt within the ruling-party as Magufuli, who was largely an outsider before 2015, strengthened his grip and marginalized internal dissenting factions. General elections were held in Tanzania on 28 October 2020 to elect the President and National Assembly. Tundu Lissu, who barely survived an assassination attempt in July 2017, returned to Tanzania from exile in July 2020 and was endorsed as the presidential candidate for both Chadema and ACT-Wazalendo (ACT). In return, Chadema endorsed ACT’s runner for the Zanzibar’s presidential elections, sixth-time candidate Seif Sharif Hamad who had previously ran under the banner of the Civic United Front (CUF). The commission didn’t comment on the arrests. 17, No. Throughout the campaign, social media and especially Twitter were an important communication tool for opposition members and the intellectual diaspora to share views, express criticism and to hold online meetings. Yet, despite the outrage of the diaspora and critical scholars, the media coverage and reactions from international partners have been very mild until now. [7] The subsequent liberalization period starting in the 1980s and the political transition of the 1990s were to a large extent controlled by CCM. [2]. A Consolidation of Magufuli’s “Authoritarian Turn”? T. Jacob and R. H. Pedersen, “New Resource Nationalism? The announcement of the election results by the NEC came as a shock, as opposition representatives lost their constituency one after the other. The perpetuating ‘de facto one party-State’[9] was consolidated through an electoral process designed to protect the hegemony of the ruling party. Tanzanian voters were called to the polls on Wednesday, October 28, 2020 to elect the country’s main political institution – the President, the National Assembly, and the District Councillors (diwani). As part of the European regulation GDPR (General Data Protection Regulation) entered into force on May 25, 2018, we collect your personal data to send you invitations to our events. Despite the new level of democratic deficit reflected in the recent general elections, Magufuli’s first mandate can be considered as a new phase of a six-decade long authoritarian regime. 1, 2018, pp. In Zanzibar particularly, opposition members have experienced violent outbursts of State coercion since 1995, and particularly after the 2000 elections that led to 60 deaths, 300 injured and more than 2,000 departures in exile to Kenya. The latest polls from states with the potential to decide the election. Moreover, the opposition in Tanzania has always been subject to repression. Consequently, Magufuli has not altered the nature of the regime during his presidency but has only been more straightforward and brutal in his use of the State apparatus to consolidate his position and repress dissent. D.-C. Martin, Tanzanie : l’invention d’une culture politique, Paris: Karthala, 1988. Additionally, the semi-autonomous archipelago of Zanzibar will hold elections to choose its president, most of the 88 members of its unicameral House of Representatives, and local councillors. The NBC News National Polling Average is based on an unweighted average of the 10 most recent publicly released public opinion polls that NBC News deems reliable. These data are saved in our file and we remind that you can request anytime the modification or the suppression of your data to the direction of development: Yann Roland / roland@ifri.org. J. Brennan, “The Short History of Political Opposition & Multi-Party Democracy in Tanganyika (1958-1964)“, in G. Maddox and J. Giblin (eds. The election results have wiped out the integral parliamentary opposition. Zanzibar's electoral commission said Hamad finished second with just 19% of the vote, while the ruling party candidate won … Hamad was later released. Statement by Tanzania Elections Watch Panel on Observations made during the Election Day in Tanzania The Panel would like to take this opportunity to commend the willingness of the people of Tanzania to take part in the electoral process which is a testament to their commitment to a participatory democracy as stipulated in Article 3 and 8 of the United Republic of Tanzania constitution. Election on Nov. 3. They must be … Althouth the electoral victory by the incumbent President John Pombe Magufuli and his party CCM was awaited, the results exceeded expectations about unfree and unfair elections and widespread fraud, as far as the ruling party claims to have “won” at least 225 out of 230 constituencies. Moreover, candidates of the ruling-party have enjoyed close relationships with security forces and civil servants that are crucial, especially at the local level, to gather information and intimidate opposition members. 10, No. Tanzanian President John Magufuli won an election victory on Friday with 84% of the vote, according to the country's National Electoral Commission. ), In Search of a Nation: Histories of Authority & Dissidence in Tanzania, Oxford: Ohio University Press, 2005, pp. Local observation by civil society organizations was forbidden and several foreign media outlets were denied accreditation to cover the elections. [5]. [8] Party elite members reshaped the constitutional and legal architecture as well as the State apparatus and exploited neopatrimonial networks to their own benefit. Tanzania is due to hold presidential and legislative elections on October 25, 2020. Questions about a potential claim by Magufuli to change the Constitution, paving the way for his third mandate are getting louder. [10]. Magufuli is currently contesting for a second five-year term. )[5] are emphasized to defend his political legitimacy. According to the results announced by the National Electoral Commission (NEC) on Friday, October 30 and contested by the opposition, its outgoing candidate John Pombe Magufuli has gathered 84% of the votes, compared to 58% in 2015. Tanzania Elections Watch, “Preliminary Election Report”, 2020. F. Backman, “Communiquer avec l’aide de dieu : face au virus, les dix commandements du président tanzanien”, Fondation Jean Jaurès, 2020. 2, pp. Opposition candidates were temporarily arrested, while security forces were accused of shooting people on Pemba Island (Zanzibar). Finally, the first-past-the-post electoral system favors CCM, particularly at the presidential level; legal provisions make it difficult for the opposition to form and sustain a coalition; changes in electoral boundaries annihilate progress made by the opposition in their local implantation and limit their ability to challenge CCM’s majority at the National Assembly. His investment in mega economic and infrastructure projects such as reviving the national airline Air Tanzania, building railway and power infrastructures and rehabilitating Dodoma as the Tanzanian capital but also by stressing the Tanzanian ownership over national resources (land, petrol, agricultural products, etc. They also form a clear message about internal dissent within CCM, enhance the politicization of State institutions and, most importantly, polarize the Tanzanian society. [8]. NDI is a 501(c)(3) organization For the three following decades, the intense fusion of the State and the ruling-party and the continuous mobilization of the population in development projects deeply transformed Tanzanian political culture. 4, 1999, pp. [7]. The presidential election was won by incumbent John Magufuli of the Chama Cha Mapinduzi party. These actions prompted international observers and diplomatic figures in Tanzania, mainly the US, UK, Norway and Canada, to declare that Magufuli’s reelection … Although CCM’s success during elections has declined over the past 15 years (CCM won 62% of the votes in 2010 and 82% in 2005) with a historically low election result of 58% in 2015, Magufuli convinced voters with a political project based on the values of incorruptibility, integrity and rigor ,[2] aiming at serving the Tanzanian nation while putting the state administration back to work (with the slogan Hapa kazi tu!, “Here, we work!”). Baden-Württemberg under Green Leadership – Balance Sheet of... Tanzania’s 2020 General Elections between Repression and Manipulation. Fouéré and C. Maingraud-Martinaud, “Une hégémonie compétitive contre vents et marées : les élections générales de 2015 en Tanzanie et à Zanzibar”, Politique africaine, 2015, Vol. Leading candidates in the Zanzibar vote are incumbent president Ali Mohamed Shein of the ruling CCM, and current vice-president Seif Sharif Hamad from … Tracking the state of the race between President Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Joe Biden, updated as polls are released. He will face opposition leader Seif … 4, No. By signing this form you consent to the processing of your data.. Tanzania's President John Magufuli speaks during the official launch of the party's campaign for the October general election at the Jamhuri stadium in Dodoma, Tanzania… [3] Magufuli’s isolationist approach was again criticized during the COVID-19 pandemic. 250-276. Your registration request has been successfully submitted. Continuity and Change in Tanzania’s Extractive Industries”, The Extractive Industries and Society, Vol. Without surprise, the outcome of the sixth general elections since the reintroduction of multiparty politics in 1992 reaffirmed the longstanding grip on power of Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM). Andrew Cuomo’s COVID-19 vaccine rollout has been calling county executives to gauge their loyalty to him. A. Makulilo, Tanzania: A De Facto One Party State?, Saarbrücken: Verlag Dr. Müller, 2008. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. 5, No. National Democratic Institute 455 Massachusetts Ave, NW, 8th Floor Washington, DC 20001-2621 Phone: 202-728-5500 Fax: 888-875-2887. Yet, despite the critical voices around Magufuli’s government, the president still received support and admiration for the stringency of his governance focusing almost exclusively on national issues. In other words, and despite the reintroduction of multiparty politics, the authoritarian structure of the State and its pervasive fusion with the ruling-party have continuously offered the tools necessary to CCM to maintain its hegemonic position. N. Minde, S. Roop and K. Tronvoll, “The Rise and Fall of the Government of National Unity in Zanzibar: A Critical Analysis of the 2015 Elections”, Journal of African Elections, Vol. Magufuli’s governance style has often been analyzed as a “rupture” with and a “danger” to Tanzanian democracy. The election is widely seen as a referendum on Mr. Magufuli, who is seeking a second five-year term, and on the governing Party of the Revolution, … 1240-1260. As well as taking part in the Tanzanian elections, voters on the semi-autonomous archipelago of Zanzibar were also electing their own president, and the CCM candidate Hussein Mwinyi … G. Hyden, “Top-Down Democratization in Tanzania“, Journal of Democracy, Vol. Electoral System : Since the introduction of multiparty elections in 1995, the uses a first-past-the-post system to determine the composition of the National Legislature, with a separate … 142-155. Returning officers at the district level, in charge of counting and announcing results are District Executive Directors (DED), themselves directly appointed by the President. However, the East African Community mission, under the leadership of former Burundi President Sylvestre Ntibantunganya declared the elections were free and fair, while the African Union mission, under the leadership of former Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan has not made any declaration yet. According to Tanzania’s election authority, more than 29 million people have registered to vote. Tundu Lissu, the main challenger to incumbent President John Magufuli, told Reuters the election results -- expected within a week -- could not be trusted. While his counterparts from the East African Community member countries were joining forces, the Tanzanian president undertook solo efforts: after denying the existence of the disease in Tanzania and declaring faith and religion as the main remedy against the coronavirus, Magufuli was accused by international community members of exposing his population arbitrarily to a serious health risk and further decreased his credibility as a responsible leader.[4]. An organization’s polls are deemed reliable based on methodology (excluding interactive voice response phone polls and opt-in online polls), past performance and transparency. Hussein Ali Hassan Mwinyi, son of former Tanzanian President Ali Hassan Mwinyi, is the candidate of the governing party. Tundu Lissu, who barely survived an assassination attempt in July 2017, returned to Tanzania from exile in July 2020 and was endorsed as the presidential candidate for … 163-184. Despite the numerous attempts by the government and State bodies to repress and impede political organization, the main opposition parties raised their voices, formulated and articulated manifestos and toured the country, even though party meetings and rallies were cadenced by interruptions and interventions by security forces. Even though the declaration of CCM’s victory was expected, the results lack credibility, and the level of irregularities,[1] violence and electoral manipulation estimated by experts and observers have led to international consternation and concern about Tanzania’s political trajectory. B ACK IN JANUARY John Magufuli, Tanzania’s president, vowed that elections scheduled for October 28th would be free and fair. L'Afrique en question, No. Tanzania Elections Watch, ... Reports say the aide leading New York Gov. Whereas these initial political intentions were generally welcomed, the relationships with non-African bi- and multilateral partners quickly deteriorated. 27, pp. The pre-electoral climate was tense both on the archipelagoes and on the mainland. In power since 2015, Magufuli has built his reputation on his merciless governance style, including the limitation of democratic and human rights, policy-making based on economic nationalism and the spontaneous dismissal of high-level officials in the name of the fight against corruption and party loyalty. Police also didn’t comment but confirmed at least 70 arrests in the past two days in election-related incidents. The president of the NEC is appointed by the President of the United Republic (who is at the same time the chairman of the ruling party). In the first decade after Independence several decisions ended a short-lived but intense period of political pluralism[6]: the introduction of the single-party system in 1962, the repressive crackdown on dissent following the 1964 mutiny and the Arusha declaration of 1967 that inaugurated the socialist period. He has an odd way of … Although CCM’s victory was expected by most, the electoral campaign revealed important political dynamics at stake. A Japanese Perspective. IE 11 is not supported. Guinea’s election on October 18th resulted in a dubious victory (and a third term) for President Alpha Condé. Despite their initial divergences on economic policy, both Chadema and ACT insisted on the importance of democratic values and on their will to improve Tanzania’s relationships with international investors. 145-163. Tracking the state of the race between President Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Joe Biden, updated as polls are released. Once presidential results are announced by the NEC, they cannot by law be challenged in court. [4]. Hassan has uphill battle leading Tanzania Vice-president Samia Suluhu Hassan, who was sworn in as president, lacks a powerful political constituency of her own 19 March 2021 - … [6]. Zanzibar’s electoral commission said Hamad finished second with just 19% of the vote, while the ruling party candidate won with 76%. In the past five years, civil society, media, and scholars dealing with Tanzanian politics have fed into a polarized debate about the country’s authoritarian “turn” led by its president. Ifri is concerned about the respect of your personal data. M.-A. The leaders of Tanzania’s ruling Chama cha Mageuzi (CCM) party must have been worried last October, in the face of what many expected to be a greatly strengthened opposition. 287-292. As in 2015, the two main political opposition parties to CCM managed to form an electoral coalition and supported only one candidate for the presidential and constituencies’ elections, despite new constraining electoral regulations. Although the free and fair character of elections in Tanzania has always been questioned, the intensity and unscrupulousness of electoral manipulation observed before and during the 2020 elections is unprecedented and seems to inaugurate yet another phase and level of authoritarianism in Tanzania. Voters will elect a president plus most of the 393 seats in the unicameral National Assembly. [9]. Since 2016, the government has been banning political meetings, arresting and jailing opposition leaders under accusations of sedition, insulting the head of state or inciting mutiny. Tap chart for details. Tanzania’s ruling party won more than 99 percent of seats in local elections boycotted by the opposition, according to official figures released on Monday. Assembly: Tanzania has a unicameral National Assembly (Bunge) with 357 seats. The long-term impacts of this episode are yet to be seen, but Magufuli, and maybe the entire CCM party, have made an unmistakable statement about their ruthless will to remain in power. CCM, formerly the Tanganyika African National Union (TANU), has been in power since Tanganyika’s Independence in 1961 and the subsequent formation of the United Republic of Tanzania in 1964. Yet, only a few days before the election day, the main telecommunication operators Airtime and Vodacom Tanzania reportedly shut down their services temporarily and text messages containing the names of opposition leaders were blocked. Tanzania votes in election marred by violence, ... leading to a seven day ban of his rallies for "seditious" language. Highly controversial measures, such as the restrictions of the freedom of expression and of assembly, political intimidation of opposition members, but also the denial of access to school for pregnant girls led traditional donors such as the Danish cooperation and the World Bank to temporarily withdraw from aid engagement. The EU-Japan partnership in the Indo-Pacific: opportunities... Why Should NATO Care About China? The rigging of the 2015 elections in the archipelago led to the dereliction of the 2010’s Government of National Unity agreement, that had eased the polarization of Zanzibari society along political lines).[10]. Chadema, NCCR-Mageuzi, and CUF are some other opposition parties represented in the National Assembly The next general election in Tanzania will be in 2020. On the mainland, the efforts of the opposition parties were met with more violent intimidation and repression than ever. The European space sector in a context of international competition... China's Priorities and Ambitions: Key Takeaways From the “Two Sessions” Les Jeudis de... Observatory of Central and Southern Africa, Elections, Governance and Evolution of the State in Africa. 27, No. Under the leadership of President John Magufuli, Tanzania has lost its credibility as a democratic nation over the years. D. Paget, “Again, Making Tanzania Great: Magufuli’s Restorationist Developmental Nationalism”, Democratization, Vol.